Comments on my January 20 column suggest that the $825 billion Obama stimulus plan is an uneconomic bailout, and that more accountability is needed to administer federal spending programs. I agree heartily with the latter proposition and dispute the former. We need accountability, but stimulus does not equal bailout.
Accountability: Federal funds -- like private monies -- need to be disbursed according to clear guidelines and strict audit protocols are always warranted. Whistleblower protections are helpful, too. While I've grown skeptical of institutions and enterprises promising to be transparent -- transparency was allegedly a hallmark of the subprime mortgage industry and related securitizations -- the stimulus package now under consideration contains strong public reporting provisions, reasonably robust audit requirements, a watchdog board and protection for whistleblowers. These aspects of the stimulus package augur well for accountability.
Stimulus versus bailout: Is the stimulus plan an uneconomic bailout, as comments on my January 20 column argue? I'd counter that the stimulus package provides federal dollars to purchase needed goods and services, many of them green. Do we need the government to step in as purchaser of the last resort? History says yes. The Great Depression did not end until the economy was spurred by military procurement for World War II, which put America's factories and people back to work. And the Obama green stimulus targets would support expenditures deemed desirable by the reader who fears that stimulus equals bailout -- to buy renewable energy and hire sustainability consultants, as well as for numerous other uses. My reader notes that businesses need customers (not a bailout) -- and that's precisely what the new stimulus package would provide.
Economists from across the political spectrum are also calling for a federal stimulus program linked to the creation of green jobs, infrastructure repair and other national priorities. Economist Paul Krugman, a self-described liberal and the winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize in economics, is perhaps best-known for this view, but experts with more conservative credentials are also calling for additional federal spending to pull the economy out of crisis. See this advice from Wharton Business School professors Jeremy Siegel, Nicholas Souleles and Eric Orts: all call for a federal spending program to boost the economy, including programs to support green jobs and alternative energy. (Professor Siegel also has a strong and simple idea for fixing bailout problems: Explicitly require TARP recipients to lend to credit-worthy borrowers. Incredibly, this has not been a condition of previous TARP disbursements. Let's hope that the Obama team implements this fix.)
The economy is drowning. If the private sector had the wherewithal to pull us out of the depths, I'd be all for it. But the only life preserver in sight appears to be the one offered by the federal government. Free market purists might prefer to let the economy sink. I'd rather use the life preserver.
Leanne Tobias is founder and principal of Malachite LLC, an advisory firm that specializes in the development, leasing, management, financing and certification of sustainable or green real estate on a global basis. Write to Leanne about your thoughts on jumpstarting the economy at greenstimulus@malachitellc.com. She'll share the best ideas in future posts.


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Team work is important here
Its very easy to post a comment here but to handling an entire state's administration is not an easy task. Though to ease the work OBAMA should appoint more analysts, researchers etc and with the help of the reports generated by them, he should take the decision. No other country can beat US in Time Management, Work Management and People Management and i think OBAMA should set the projection time. I know he and his administration may work in the same way though they should think of change in working style which mite be helpful.
-Sandy
http://www.justmeans.com/
Confused about the Stimulus
I don't agree or disagree with either of the comments above. Me personally, I can't understand why couldn't President Obama take the time out to go over the entire government budget line item by line item and eliminate excessive and wasteful spending which would free-up some of the money that is already circulating in our economy versus borrowing. Why is everything promoted so urgently, jobs are still being lost, people are still losing their homes, banks are still crumbling. Why can't we just slow down and really think things through before we go committing ourselves to something so significant. Quite honestly, I think the private sector over done themselves; you had too many companies trying to be the biggest with the most when it really was unnessary. For example, Circuit City-they went out of business, well why wouldn't they eventually fail. There were 3-4 stores every 3-4 miles. It was pointless, one store was basically gauging sales from the other. You see this with every major USA retailer--they just got way to big way too fast. Looking at Star Bucks, 2 years ago if you review their financials there primary goal was to open at least 250 stores every month....WHY? It's too much, as a consumer if I really want Star Bucks I will drive and get it, it was unnessary to have one on every single exit. To me it's common sense. But if you think about it many private businneses wnated to boast about their growth in hopes of increasing the stock value. What we need is intelligent business decision makers that are level headed heading our companies versus these greedy over obsessed with money scum bags that will go to any extreme in order to increase their salaries. There are a host of reasons why we are in the mess we are in, we ALL play a part in it. Some of us want to pinpoint certain groups as the cause but in order for us to solve the issues we have today, we need to think much more complex and not let these so-called experts lead us anymore. That's one thing I do agree with anonymous on, we have too many so-called experts who are feeding the American public a bunch of bull%@*! for their own self-interest. And yes we do need to stop living above our means....bottom-line
Revisions to revisions
It's okay to be wrong - it's part of the process of becoming right!
Apparently the Democrats passed the stimulus plan. Given that debt got us into the trouble we're in today, the government solution is to borrow huge sums of money in an effort to get us out of debt and back to full employment.
If history is about to repeat itself, expect the following scenario:
Unemployment to rise, then go down slightly as the government's errant spending is doled out. Then unemployment will rise again, as meaningful jobs that could have been created by the private sector are crowded out by government hiring - private industry falters.
Expect little capital to be available for private industry. The government will borrow all the cash they can get their hands on. Private industry will be second in line at the lending window. Small businesses will receive almost nothing.
All the above will lead to a slow death spiral for private industry and the economy in general.
After a period of time the Democrats will realize their Keynesian claptrap is not working and demand more bailouts and more government spending.
Eventually the only solution to return the country to full employment will be a war. In Obama 's first or second term, Hillary Clinton will advocate for a needless and expensive war - my guess it will be Iran. Someone else will be blamed for starting the war. Initially we will only supply aid to the war effort but eventually we'll commit troops. The war will be bloody, expensive and catastrophic.
Our nation will be held in economic doldrums for one to two decades. Revisionist history will fashion Obama as a fearless leader and Clinton as his foreign policy visionary. Obama's only fault will be that he didn't do enough.
I'm hoping the above scenario does not play out. But if Obama fashions himself after FDR (and it appears that he's headed in that direction), we can only expect history to repeat itself.
Re: Revisionist History Comment
The Encarta data supplied by our reader is correct-- the New Deal failed to stimulate the U.S. economy to full employment (in fact it fell quite short) and World War II started the full employment era.
Reasonable people disagree on the lessons to be drawn from the U.S.'s Depression/World War II experience. Some denounce what they consider FDR's Keynesian claptrap (as our reader does) and others argue that the New Deal fiscal stimulus was not sufficiently aggressive. (See the links to Paul Krugman's New York Times writings in my More on Stimulus comment, above.)
Confronted with the current economic situation, I would rather err on the side of aggressive fiscal stimulus. I recognize that others disagree and acknowledge that the Obama experience may prove me wrong.
But that's the risk of writing a blog-- if you're wrong, you'll be left with very public egg on your face. And I know that the readers who disagree with my stance will never let me forget it.
Leanne Tobias
Revisionist History
One of the greatest examples of revisionist history is the restatement of FDR's legacy.
Here is a link that shows the result of Roosevelt's "pump priming".
http://encarta.msn.com/media_461546193_761584403_-1_1/unemployment_durin...
The above shows high unemployment.
Instead of letting the economy recover, Roosevelt bungled it for nearly two terms with his Keynesian claptrap.
If we have 17-24 percent unemployment during a two-term Obama presidency, would he be impeached in his second term?
It is true that we entered the second world war and that started an era of full employment. When governments are empowered to spend money that hasn't been earned or saved, they tend to spend the money on wars and try to employ everybody.
Roosevelt also authorized the internment of 110,000 Japanese Americans during world war two.
FDR left a legacy of large government and promises that continually force our nation to get into deeper and deeper debt in order to keep the socialist dream alive.
Who wants to be America's next FDR?
More On Stimulus
Thanks to my reader for a beautifully written and argued post. (We should get an occasional point-counterpoint going.)
On World War II and U.S. economic history: I must respectfully disagree with my reader. There's considerable consensus that WW II, with the government in the role of chief purchaser, did get the U.S. economy moving again in the 1940s, and this has been well-accepted for many years. Those who studied American history with the venerable Bradford Wright (shout-out to Brookline High alums of a certain era) will recall early iterations of this view. More recently, Paul Krugman has posted some interesting data:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/10/opinion/10krugman.html?scp=14&sq=Paul%...
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/10/fiscal-fdr/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/08/new-deal-economics/?scp=22&s...
But there are things on which my reader and I agree completely: saving should be rewarded and excessive personal spending discouraged. Zero money down, variable rate mortgages aimed at households with poor credit was an awful idea. Excessive debt, both at the household level and the company level, leaves no room for error when a transaction craters.
But in difficult times -- and this moment is one of them -- the need for governmental fiscal stimulus is clear.
-- Leanne Tobias
Stimulus is a bad idea
Ms.Tobias needs to review her history. After the great depression, the economy started to recover on it's own as demand and prices stabilized. However the FDR "new deal" actually delayed the recovery by creating unnecessary and excessive government spending. Many of the policies of FDR were counter productive - prices should be fixed by the government, that people should be put to work by the government (not private industry) on wasteful programs.
FDR's programs were socialism in disguise. Those who wanted the New Deal to continue could have simply moved to Russia to see the New Deal morph into a Bad Deal for the Russian citizens.
The war did not pull us out of the depression. There were shortages of goods during the war and great human suffering. What brought us out of the war was that plenty of people saved money during the war ("war bonds") and saving went into productive investment during the 1950's. Our forefathers knew how to save and sacrifice so that tomorrow would be better than today.
Forget the economists with "credentials" - where were they when we were getting ourselves into this mess? (Answer: nowhere to be found). There is too much propaganda out there - many of these "experts" on TV are shilling for a political party, a company, trying to sell a book or some other vested interest. We have to start thinking for ourselves.
Generally we as individuals and a nation have borrowed and spent ourselves into the ground. Borrowing and spending more money is not the answer. Would you advise a relative who has racked their credit cards up to the limit to go out and borrow and spend more? No, you'd tell them to start saving and paying down their debts.
So, no more bailouts, no more buying homes with "zero money down", no more buying SUV's and big screen TV's on credit, no more government borrowing huge sums of money and handing it out in some "accountable" way. We simply need to change the rules so that saving is rewarded and excessive spending is not encouraged. Talk to your parents or grandparents - they know all about delayed satisfaction.