Radical Transparency Revisited: What's BP's PDF?

Industrial ecologists use the term "partially diminished fraction," or PDF, to assess the extent to which a product somewhere along its life cycle harms ecosystems. Virtually every manmade object has a PDF impact, however miniscule -- like the palm oil in a shampoo harvested on plantations where rain forest was clearcut, or the cotton in a t-shirt that comes from farms that over-draw water in arid areas. For BP, the PDF of its oil has become massive, and growing. 

In an uncanny coincidence, just weeks before the BP spill the Harvard Business Review ran a featured article proclaiming that it is no longer possible for business leaders to ignore what economists call 'externalities' like pollution. For Big Oil, that's now an understatement. Add to that the imperative for investors to avoid sustainability risks: BP's market value has tanked, shedding tens of billions of dollars. The Gulf crisis stands to stamp externalities (though not the term, hopefully) on the national consciousness with the same traumatic force as 9/11 did for terrorism.

What a difference a year makes. Last spring I dialogued with Joel Makower on whether radical transparency -- the surfacing of a company's or brand's hidden ecological impacts -- was the future for green business, as I argue in Ecological Intelligence: The Hidden Impacts of What We Buy. I had connected the dots on emerging trends in information systems and industrial ecology, and projected a future where shoppers would routinely compare eco-impacts of what they buy just as they do today with price, shifting market share so that companies would compete to upgrade their own ecological footprints. Joel, understandably at the time, argued that was a bit of a pipe dream.

Then just months later came a seismic shift, with Walmart announcing its intention to create a sustainability index, and notifying its 100,000-plus suppliers that they either share metrics on their products' ecological impacts or become "irrelevant." Andy Ruben, then head of Walmart house brands, wanted to help his suppliers understand the big picture on the disruptive technology eco-impact information systems are creating. So he asked to condense and distribute to his suppliers audio interviews I had done with the developers of the two main emerging platform prototypes: GoodGuide -- the consumer-facing comprehensive eco-rating system -- and Earthster, the open-source supply-chain eco-impact tracker.

Ruben (now head of Walmart's global sourcing for foods) also asked Gregory Norris, developer of Earthster, to pilot life-cycle analysis evaluations of seven product lines. The metrics chosen for the pilot were global warming impacts, resource use, and "disability adjusted life years," or DALYs, a public health measure of the degree of disability caused by the product at any point in its life cycle. And, oh yes, one more: PDF. No one can say if these metrics will end up incorporated into the final sustainability index Walmart plans one day to post next to price tags. But the smart money thinks so.

The momentum for radical transparency builds. In April, I attended a meeting in Washington DC on Earthster held by the EPA for a host of folks from various government agencies with a stake in sustainability. The interest was in how to find a unifying information platform that could be used, say, by the GSA to build in perpetual ecological upgrades in the course of purchasing the half-trillion dollars or so it spends yearly. A federal library is considering using Earthster 2.0 (now in development) as the model platform for a data commons on ecological impacts, creating an information utility that businesses can use as they work to assess and reduce their externalities.

Next page: The good news for companies joining this race to the top.