Is There Any Hope for Progress on US Climate Policy?

Right, left or center, most agree that U.S. climate and energy policy today is, at best, an ineffective and inefficient patchwork.

Better get used to it, said a bipartisan panel of Washington insiders yesterday at the Atlantic Green Intelligence Forum.

For now, and for the rest of the Obama administration, when it comes to energy and climate, the White House and Congress will use the tools at hand, and not invent new ones.

"We all agree -- big bills are dead," said Carol Browner, the former White House climate czar and a Democrat.

intelligence forum"I never want to hear the word comprehensive again because once you hear the word comprehensive, you know a bill is never going to pass," said James Connaughton, the former Bush II White House environmental adviser.

What this means, unfortunately, is that the U.S. won't get an energy and climate policy that is sufficient to deal with the threat of global warming until 2013 at the earliest, even as greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise rapidly. Just a week ago, the International Energy Agency warned that it will be impossible to hold global warming levels to safe levels without dramatic shifts towards low-carbon energy sources in the next few years.

In the meantime, we'll have to make do with today's wasteful patchwork -- federal and state tax breaks (for wind, solar, corn ethanol and electric cars), federal loan guarantees (for nuclear power, renewable energy and electric car manufacturing) state-level renewable portfolio standards (mostly for wind and solar) and EPA fuel-economy standards (which regulates cars, but do nothing to discourage driving). Worse, we've got counterproductive subsidies for oil and gas production.

As Connaughton said wryly: "When you incentivize everything, you're basically incentivizing nothing."

This doesn't mean that meaningful progress can't be made. As Browner and David Hawkins, the veteran climate advocate with the Natural Resources Defense Council both noted, agencies like EPA and NHTSA (the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration) have broad powers to regulate electric utilities and cars, which together account for well over half of the U.S.'s greenhouse gas emissions.

For example, by regulating mercury emissions, EPA can make it too costly to operate older and dirtier coal plants.

"We can have some big debate about climate change," said Browner, who was the Clinton administration EPA chief, "but we can also focus on getting things done."

Indeed, even as the panelists spoke, the Obama administration announced, as expected, new rules requiring cars and light trucks to achieve a combined 54.5 miles per gallon by the 2025. Environmentalists were delighted. "Today's announcement is more good news for American consumers, auto manufacturers, public health and the environment," said Fred Krupp, president of the Environmental Defense Fund, in a statement.