VERGE

Can satellites save the world's 3,500 tigers from extinction?

Now that we know why tigers are endangered, will we be able to save them?

Tigers are one of the world's most iconic animals, and yet also one of the most endangered. Despite their popularity in books, films and religion, fewer than 3,500 remain in the wild today, due largely to agriculture, logging and infrastructure expansion that’s destroyed 90 percent of their habitat.

The good news is that scientists agree that the tiger population can recover as long as its remaining landscapes are effectively monitored and protected. Researchers recently measured habitat loss in the world’s 76 tiger habitats over the past 14 years using data available on the Global Forest Watch tool.

They found that forest loss was much lower than anticipated across all tiger landscapes (roughly 19.76 million acres, or less than 8 percent of the total habitat). Thanks to preservation of habitat in countries such as Nepal and India, tiger populations in those countries already have increased 61 and 31 percent, respectively.

The study, conducted by researchers at the University of Minnesota, RESOLVE, Stanford University, the Smithsonian, University of Maryland and the World Resources Institute (WRI), sheds light on who’s responsible for tiger habitat loss, and points to important measures needed to preserve habitats and increase the big cats’ populations.

Hanging onto habitat

Tigers are solitary by nature and require vast expanses of habitat to survive. One key to ensuring adequate habitat range is protecting and restoring corridors — areas of land that connect large zones of habitat and allow otherwise separated tiger populations to disperse and interact.

Habitat loss or gain in these relatively small areas have major impacts on the viability of tiger populations, as demonstrated in Nepal.

The Khata corridor in Nepal’s Terai Arc Landscape — an area that encompasses three tiger conservation landscapes critical to achieving the global goal to double the wild tiger population by 2022 — gained tree cover over 2.7 percent of its area in the last 14 years.

The gain was in part due to a community-managed forestry program and anti-poaching patrol efforts to protect the habitat and its wildlife. Tigers now use this corridor to travel between Nepal’s Bardia National Park and India’s Katerniaghat Tiger Reserve, which likely has contributed to the impressive increase from 18 to 50 tigers between 2009 and 2013 in Bardia.

A Sumatran tigress licking her paw. Source: Tambako The Jaguar (Flickr).

The population in the Terai Arc Landscape overall also increased 61 percent from 2009 to 2014. By contrast, the Basanta corridor, also in the Terai Arc Landscape in Nepal, lost some of its forest to encroachment and land clearing and is no longer used by tigers to move to and from the northern forests.

Although the loss was small — a mere 0.7 percent — because it occurred in a bottleneck area, it’s effectively severed connectivity between the northern and southern populations in this area and reduced habitat range.

Preventing future loss across all habitats is critical to recovering the tiger population. However, the amount of habitat lost since 2001 was much lower and more concentrated than expected, suggesting that park rangers, communities and policymakers should prioritize the most sensitive areas, such as key corridors, for conservation.

The role of agriculture

But it’s not all good news.

Findings also show that habitats where large-scale agriculture is driving deforestation are suffering the most. Ninety-eight percent of the total forest loss in tiger habitats was concentrated in just 10 landscapes. Those with the highest percentage of loss were in Indonesia and Malaysia, where conversion of forest to agriculture is a major contributing factor.

The Bukit Tigapuluh landscape in Sumatra, for instance, lost 67 percent of its forest cover since 2001. Oil palm and wood fiber concessions overlap with 42 percent of this landscape.

WRI research shows that the world will need to produce 70 percent (PDF) more food calories in 2050 than it does today to feed a growing population. Much of that demand will be met by commodities such as palm oil. Strong forest management practices will be critical to balancing agricultural expansion so that it happens on already degraded lands and doesn’t cause damage to intact tiger habitat.

Preventing big cats’ extinction

The findings are as cautionary as they are positive. If done right, the world has enough intact habitat to support doubling or evening tripling the tiger population in the coming decades.

Lower-than-expected loss in the Tiger Conservation Landscapes shows that progress is possible, but we can’t afford to lose any more. The habitat lost since 2001 could have supported 400 tigers — with just 3,500 remaining in the world, every tiger counts.

Experts also project that the world will invest $750 billion annually in infrastructure projects, including a superhighway that would bisect the Terai Arc Landscape. In short, protecting tiger habitats will require a concerted effort to balance the world’s growing demands with the right forest management practices.

These efforts will be enabled in large part by near real-time forest change data available on Global Forest Watch. Monthly and weekly tree cover change data can help park rangers and communities build off this research to continue monitoring the most at-risk habitats, and take action to stop forest loss before it affects tiger populations.

To see forest change in tiger habitat, visit the interactive GFW map here

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